Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →71.7%
Rochdale
19.1%
Draw
9.2%
Eastleigh
Expected Goals (xG)
2.20
Rochdale
vs
0.67
Eastleigh
Markets
BTTS44.3%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.578.8%
Over 2.554.8%
Over 3.532.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.7%
1-0
11.7%
3-0
10.0%
2-1
9.2%
1-1
9.1%
3-1
6.8%
0-0
6.4%
4-0
5.5%
4-1
3.7%
0-1
3.1%
2-2
3.1%
1-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).