Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.4%
Setubal
26.6%
Draw
18.0%
Belenenses
Expected Goals (xG)
1.39
Setubal
vs
0.65
Belenenses
Markets
BTTS35.6%
Over 0.587.6%
Over 1.560.2%
Over 2.533.7%
Over 3.515.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.5%
2-0
12.5%
0-0
12.4%
1-1
11.2%
0-1
8.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-0
5.8%
1-2
3.9%
3-1
3.8%
0-2
2.8%
2-2
2.7%
4-0
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).