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AHT: 01CSV

18 May 2025 · 14:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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32.1%
Schalke 04
30.3%
Draw
37.7%
Elversberg

Expected Goals (xG)

1.13

Schalke 04

vs
1.25

Elversberg

Markets

BTTS49.6%
Over 0.589.5%
Over 1.570.0%
Over 2.542.5%
Over 3.521.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.3%
0-0
10.5%
0-1
10.3%
1-0
9.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-1
7.4%
0-2
7.2%
2-0
5.9%
2-2
4.6%
1-3
3.4%
0-3
3.0%
3-1
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).