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13 Aug 2022 · 22:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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60.0%
Las Palmas
26.3%
Draw
13.7%
Zaragoza

Expected Goals (xG)

1.46

Las Palmas

vs
0.54

Zaragoza

Markets

BTTS31.9%
Over 0.586.6%
Over 1.559.3%
Over 2.532.4%
Over 3.514.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
19.9%
2-0
14.4%
0-0
13.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-1
7.8%
0-1
7.4%
3-0
7.0%
3-1
3.8%
1-2
2.9%
4-0
2.6%
2-2
2.1%
0-2
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).