Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.2%
Crewe
24.7%
Draw
33.2%
AFC Wimbledon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.35
Crewe
vs
1.16
AFC Wimbledon
Markets
BTTS49.8%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.570.5%
Over 2.545.9%
Over 3.524.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.0%
1-1
11.7%
0-1
10.5%
2-1
8.6%
2-0
7.4%
1-2
7.4%
0-0
7.0%
0-2
5.5%
2-2
5.0%
3-1
3.9%
3-0
3.3%
1-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).