Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.4%
Zaragoza
32.3%
Draw
24.3%
Alcorcon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.06
Zaragoza
vs
0.71
Alcorcon
Markets
BTTS33.0%
Over 0.583.0%
Over 1.552.5%
Over 2.526.0%
Over 3.510.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.2%
0-0
17.0%
1-1
12.7%
0-1
12.2%
2-0
9.6%
2-1
6.8%
1-2
4.5%
0-2
4.3%
3-0
3.4%
2-2
2.4%
3-1
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).