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16 Nov 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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30.7%
Stockport
29.8%
Draw
39.5%
Wrexham

Expected Goals (xG)

0.85

Stockport

vs
1.02

Wrexham

Markets

BTTS35.4%
Over 0.585.6%
Over 1.554.5%
Over 2.528.7%
Over 3.512.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
16.8%
0-0
14.4%
1-0
14.3%
1-1
12.2%
0-2
8.0%
1-2
6.8%
2-1
5.7%
2-0
5.6%
2-2
2.9%
0-3
2.7%
1-3
2.3%
3-1
1.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).