Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →64.3%
Boston Utd
21.5%
Draw
14.2%
Ebbsfleet
Expected Goals (xG)
2.09
Boston Utd
vs
0.89
Ebbsfleet
Markets
BTTS52.5%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.580.6%
Over 2.557.3%
Over 3.534.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
1-0
9.8%
3-0
7.7%
3-1
6.9%
0-0
5.9%
2-2
4.4%
1-2
4.2%
4-0
4.0%
0-1
3.7%
4-1
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).