Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →62.5%
Malaga
21.2%
Draw
16.3%
Eldense
Expected Goals (xG)
1.94
Malaga
vs
0.87
Eldense
Markets
BTTS49.6%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.576.9%
Over 2.553.2%
Over 3.531.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
11.8%
2-0
11.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-0
7.3%
3-1
6.4%
0-0
5.9%
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-2
4.3%
4-0
3.6%
4-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).