Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.4%
Santa Clara
32.3%
Draw
39.3%
Famalicao
Expected Goals (xG)
0.77
Santa Clara
vs
0.96
Famalicao
Markets
BTTS32.5%
Over 0.582.8%
Over 1.551.0%
Over 2.525.0%
Over 3.59.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
17.7%
0-0
17.2%
1-0
14.2%
1-1
12.5%
0-2
8.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-0
5.2%
2-1
5.0%
0-3
2.6%
2-2
2.4%
1-3
2.0%
3-0
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).