Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.0%
Lecce
28.6%
Draw
25.5%
Pisa
Expected Goals (xG)
1.48
Lecce
vs
1.04
Pisa
Markets
BTTS51.2%
Over 0.590.7%
Over 1.572.9%
Over 2.546.1%
Over 3.524.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.6%
1-0
10.7%
0-0
9.3%
2-1
9.2%
2-0
8.8%
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-1
4.5%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
4.3%
3-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).