Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →16.1%
Sheffield Wednesday
26.0%
Draw
57.9%
Watford
Expected Goals (xG)
0.75
Sheffield Wednesday
vs
1.65
Watford
Markets
BTTS43.5%
Over 0.590.1%
Over 1.569.9%
Over 2.542.9%
Over 3.522.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.2%
0-2
12.3%
1-1
12.1%
0-0
9.9%
1-2
9.3%
0-3
6.8%
1-0
6.0%
1-3
5.1%
2-1
4.2%
2-2
3.5%
0-4
2.8%
2-0
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).