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03 Apr 2021 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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77.8%
Leeds
14.4%
Draw
7.8%
Sheffield United

Expected Goals (xG)

2.97

Leeds

vs
0.93

Sheffield United

Markets

BTTS58.0%
Over 0.597.2%
Over 1.590.8%
Over 2.574.6%
Over 3.554.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
9.0%
3-0
8.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-0
6.6%
1-1
6.4%
4-1
6.1%
1-0
5.3%
5-0
3.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-2
3.8%
5-1
3.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).