Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.7%
Kilmarnock
25.3%
Draw
23.0%
St Johnstone
Expected Goals (xG)
1.72
Kilmarnock
vs
1.08
St Johnstone
Markets
BTTS54.9%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.577.6%
Over 2.553.0%
Over 3.530.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.0%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
9.0%
0-0
6.8%
1-2
6.1%
0-1
5.8%
3-1
5.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-0
5.2%
0-2
3.5%
3-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).