Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →73.6%
Galatasaray
19.9%
Draw
6.4%
Alanyaspor
Expected Goals (xG)
2.33
Galatasaray
vs
0.63
Alanyaspor
Markets
BTTS44.1%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.581.4%
Over 2.556.7%
Over 3.534.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
14.1%
3-0
10.9%
1-0
10.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-1
8.9%
0-0
7.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-0
6.3%
4-1
4.0%
5-0
3.0%
2-2
2.8%
1-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).