Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.3%
Eldense
24.1%
Draw
48.6%
Malaga
Expected Goals (xG)
1.17
Eldense
vs
1.65
Malaga
Markets
BTTS55.7%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.577.2%
Over 2.553.6%
Over 3.531.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.4%
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.5%
0-2
8.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6.8%
0-0
5.8%
2-2
5.6%
1-3
5.2%
0-3
4.4%
2-0
4.1%
2-3
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).