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AHT: 01CSV

11 Sept 2021 · 14:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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27.8%
Greuther Furth
24.9%
Draw
47.3%
Wolfsburg

Expected Goals (xG)

1.31

Greuther Furth

vs
1.77

Wolfsburg

Markets

BTTS61.4%
Over 0.594.6%
Over 1.582.1%
Over 2.559.5%
Over 3.537.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.5%
1-2
9.4%
0-1
7.3%
0-2
7.2%
2-1
7.0%
2-2
6.2%
1-3
5.5%
0-0
5.4%
1-0
5.2%
0-3
4.2%
2-0
4.0%
2-3
3.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).