Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →6.0%
Oxford
25.2%
Draw
68.8%
Burnley
Expected Goals (xG)
0.29
Oxford
vs
1.54
Burnley
Markets
BTTS20.4%
Over 0.583.4%
Over 1.555.3%
Over 2.527.8%
Over 3.511.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
24.1%
0-2
19.1%
0-0
16.6%
0-3
9.8%
1-1
7.7%
1-2
5.5%
1-0
4.0%
0-4
3.8%
1-3
2.8%
0-5
1.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-1
1.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).