Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.9%
Eldense
25.7%
Draw
40.4%
Sporting Gijón
Expected Goals (xG)
1.26
Eldense
vs
1.40
Sporting Gijón
Markets
BTTS54.0%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.574.4%
Over 2.549.8%
Over 3.527.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.2%
0-1
9.9%
1-0
8.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-1
7.8%
0-2
6.9%
0-0
6.8%
2-0
5.5%
2-2
5.5%
1-3
4.0%
3-1
3.3%
0-3
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).