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05 Apr 2026 · 00:00

Burgos

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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34.9%
Albacete
32.9%
Draw
32.2%
Burgos

Expected Goals (xG)

0.91

Albacete

vs
0.86

Burgos

Markets

BTTS34.5%
Over 0.583.2%
Over 1.552.8%
Over 2.526.3%
Over 3.510.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
16.8%
1-0
15.6%
0-1
14.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-0
7.1%
0-2
6.3%
2-1
6.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-2
2.6%
3-0
2.1%
3-1
1.9%
0-3
1.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).