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18 Jul 2025 · 18:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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55.3%
Lech Poznań
24.6%
Draw
20.1%
Cracovia Kraków

Expected Goals (xG)

1.84

Lech Poznań

vs
1.03

Cracovia Kraków

Markets

BTTS55.0%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.578.9%
Over 2.554.6%
Over 3.532.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.6%
1-0
9.5%
0-0
6.6%
3-1
6.0%
3-0
5.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-2
5.1%
0-1
4.9%
3-2
3.1%
0-2
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).