Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.3%
Eldense
23.7%
Draw
22.0%
Cartagena
Expected Goals (xG)
1.71
Eldense
vs
0.99
Cartagena
Markets
BTTS51.5%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.575.1%
Over 2.550.8%
Over 3.528.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
11.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-0
9.8%
2-1
9.7%
0-1
6.8%
0-0
6.6%
1-2
5.6%
3-0
5.6%
3-1
5.6%
2-2
4.8%
0-2
3.3%
3-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).