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16 Nov 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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46.4%
Woking
28.1%
Draw
25.5%
Boston Utd

Expected Goals (xG)

1.49

Woking

vs
1.04

Boston Utd

Markets

BTTS51.1%
Over 0.591.0%
Over 1.572.8%
Over 2.546.3%
Over 3.524.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.2%
0-0
9.0%
2-0
8.8%
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-1
4.5%
3-0
4.4%
0-2
4.3%
3-2
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).