Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.5%
Newport County
24.1%
Draw
54.4%
Colchester
Expected Goals (xG)
0.89
Newport County
vs
1.59
Colchester
Markets
BTTS46.4%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.570.4%
Over 2.545.2%
Over 3.523.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.8%
1-1
11.3%
0-2
10.6%
1-2
9.4%
1-0
7.9%
0-0
7.8%
0-3
5.6%
2-1
5.3%
1-3
5.0%
2-2
4.2%
2-0
3.3%
0-4
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).