Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →13.6%
Farense
25.0%
Draw
61.4%
Sp Braga
Expected Goals (xG)
0.68
Farense
vs
1.71
Sp Braga
Markets
BTTS41.1%
Over 0.590.0%
Over 1.569.7%
Over 2.542.7%
Over 3.521.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.9%
0-2
13.4%
1-1
11.5%
0-0
10.0%
1-2
9.1%
0-3
7.7%
1-0
5.4%
1-3
5.2%
2-1
3.6%
0-4
3.3%
2-2
3.1%
1-4
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).