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05 Aug 2025 · 18:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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45.4%
Crawley Town
25.4%
Draw
29.2%
Loughborough University

Expected Goals (xG)

1.45

Crawley Town

vs
1.10

Loughborough University

Markets

BTTS50.7%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.571.9%
Over 2.546.9%
Over 3.525.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.0%
0-1
9.0%
2-0
8.2%
0-0
7.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-2
5.0%
0-2
4.7%
3-1
4.4%
3-0
3.9%
1-3
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).