Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.6%
Estoril
22.8%
Draw
15.6%
Farense
Expected Goals (xG)
1.92
Estoril
vs
0.87
Farense
Markets
BTTS50.1%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.577.3%
Over 2.552.8%
Over 3.530.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.4%
1-0
11.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-0
7.3%
0-0
6.8%
3-1
6.3%
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-2
4.3%
4-0
3.5%
4-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).