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05 Nov 2022 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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10.5%
Sheffield United
27.8%
Draw
61.7%
Burnley

Expected Goals (xG)

0.44

Sheffield United

vs
1.45

Burnley

Markets

BTTS28.2%
Over 0.584.3%
Over 1.557.2%
Over 2.529.5%
Over 3.512.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
21.1%
0-2
15.8%
0-0
15.7%
1-1
10.4%
0-3
7.6%
1-2
7.0%
1-0
6.0%
1-3
3.4%
0-4
2.8%
2-1
2.2%
2-2
1.6%
2-0
1.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).