Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →81.4%
Wrexham
12.9%
Draw
5.8%
Maidenhead
Expected Goals (xG)
2.88
Wrexham
vs
0.69
Maidenhead
Markets
BTTS47.7%
Over 0.596.7%
Over 1.587.6%
Over 2.569.2%
Over 3.547.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.6%
3-0
11.2%
2-1
8.1%
4-0
8.0%
3-1
7.8%
1-0
7.6%
1-1
6.1%
4-1
5.6%
5-0
4.6%
0-0
3.3%
5-1
3.2%
2-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).