Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.0%
Wolfsburg
25.0%
Draw
35.0%
M'gladbach
Expected Goals (xG)
1.64
Wolfsburg
vs
1.52
M'gladbach
Markets
BTTS63.7%
Over 0.595.0%
Over 1.583.1%
Over 2.561.2%
Over 3.538.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.3%
2-1
8.7%
1-2
8.0%
2-2
6.6%
1-0
6.2%
0-1
5.7%
2-0
5.7%
0-0
5.0%
0-2
4.9%
3-1
4.7%
1-3
4.1%
3-2
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).