Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.4%
Barrow
27.0%
Draw
51.6%
Northampton
Expected Goals (xG)
0.76
Barrow
vs
1.36
Northampton
Markets
BTTS39.0%
Over 0.588.4%
Over 1.562.0%
Over 2.535.5%
Over 3.516.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.9%
1-1
11.9%
0-0
11.6%
0-2
11.1%
1-0
9.6%
1-2
8.4%
0-3
5.0%
2-1
4.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-0
3.5%
2-2
3.2%
0-4
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).