Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.4%
Chesterfield
21.5%
Draw
51.1%
York
Expected Goals (xG)
1.63
Chesterfield
vs
2.24
York
Markets
BTTS72.4%
Over 0.597.3%
Over 1.590.5%
Over 2.574.2%
Over 3.554.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
8.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.9%
1-3
6.4%
2-1
6.2%
0-2
5.2%
2-3
5.2%
0-1
4.0%
0-3
3.9%
3-2
3.8%
1-4
3.6%
3-1
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).