Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →70.3%
Gil Vicente
20.1%
Draw
9.7%
Belenenses
Expected Goals (xG)
1.83
Gil Vicente
vs
0.50
Belenenses
Markets
BTTS32.4%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.567.1%
Over 2.541.1%
Over 3.520.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.3%
2-0
16.4%
3-0
10.0%
0-0
9.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-1
8.1%
0-1
5.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-0
4.6%
4-1
2.3%
1-2
2.2%
2-2
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).