Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →72.2%
Cambridge
17.9%
Draw
9.9%
Newport County
Expected Goals (xG)
2.06
Cambridge
vs
0.59
Newport County
Markets
BTTS38.8%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.574.0%
Over 2.549.6%
Over 3.527.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
14.9%
1-0
14.8%
3-0
10.3%
2-1
8.9%
1-1
8.2%
0-0
6.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-0
5.3%
0-1
4.5%
4-1
3.1%
2-2
2.6%
1-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).