Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.2%
Almeria
21.4%
Draw
28.4%
Sociedad
Expected Goals (xG)
2.01
Almeria
vs
1.47
Sociedad
Markets
BTTS66.7%
Over 0.597.0%
Over 1.586.2%
Over 2.567.6%
Over 3.546.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.1%
1-1
9.0%
2-2
6.7%
1-2
6.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.1%
0-1
4.6%
3-2
4.5%
3-0
4.2%
0-2
3.3%
2-3
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).