Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.8%
Bradford
24.9%
Draw
44.3%
Cardiff
Expected Goals (xG)
1.08
Bradford
vs
1.36
Cardiff
Markets
BTTS47.9%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.568.8%
Over 2.543.9%
Over 3.522.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.0%
1-1
11.7%
1-0
10.5%
1-2
8.7%
0-2
8.1%
0-0
7.7%
2-1
6.9%
2-0
5.1%
2-2
4.7%
1-3
3.9%
0-3
3.7%
3-1
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).