Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.6%
Gateshead
24.7%
Draw
47.7%
Boston Utd
Expected Goals (xG)
1.34
Gateshead
vs
1.81
Boston Utd
Markets
BTTS62.7%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.583.2%
Over 2.561.1%
Over 3.538.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.2%
1-2
9.4%
0-2
7.0%
2-1
7.0%
0-1
6.8%
2-2
6.3%
1-3
5.7%
0-0
5.1%
1-0
4.8%
0-3
4.2%
2-0
3.8%
2-3
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).