Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.8%
Stoke
30.5%
Draw
34.7%
Norwich
Expected Goals (xG)
1.14
Stoke
vs
1.13
Norwich
Markets
BTTS47.0%
Over 0.588.7%
Over 1.567.2%
Over 2.539.6%
Over 3.519.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.3%
0-0
11.3%
1-0
10.8%
0-1
10.7%
2-1
7.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
6.7%
0-2
6.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-1
2.9%
1-3
2.9%
3-0
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).