Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.4%
Troyes
21.2%
Draw
53.4%
Nice
Expected Goals (xG)
1.24
Troyes
vs
1.90
Nice
Markets
BTTS59.9%
Over 0.596.3%
Over 1.581.6%
Over 2.560.8%
Over 3.538.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.7%
1-1
9.6%
0-1
8.8%
0-2
7.8%
2-1
6.3%
1-3
6.1%
2-2
6.0%
1-0
5.9%
0-3
4.9%
2-3
3.8%
0-0
3.7%
2-0
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).