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HHT: 02CSV

28 Apr 2017

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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55.2%
Bochum
24.8%
Draw
19.9%
Dresden

Expected Goals (xG)

1.84

Bochum

vs
1.03

Dresden

Markets

BTTS55.2%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.579.1%
Over 2.554.7%
Over 3.532.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.8%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.6%
1-0
9.4%
0-0
6.7%
3-1
6.1%
3-0
5.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-2
5.1%
0-1
4.8%
3-2
3.1%
0-2
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).