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04 Jul 2020 · 21:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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28.8%
Granada
26.5%
Draw
44.7%
Valencia

Expected Goals (xG)

1.13

Granada

vs
1.47

Valencia

Markets

BTTS52.3%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.573.5%
Over 2.548.1%
Over 3.526.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.6%
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.1%
1-0
8.1%
0-2
8.0%
0-0
7.7%
2-1
7.0%
2-2
5.1%
2-0
4.7%
1-3
4.4%
0-3
3.9%
3-1
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).