Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.2%
Metz
22.4%
Draw
33.5%
Nimes
Expected Goals (xG)
1.69
Metz
vs
1.44
Nimes
Markets
BTTS61.5%
Over 0.596.2%
Over 1.581.2%
Over 2.560.4%
Over 3.538.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.1%
2-1
9.0%
1-0
8.0%
1-2
7.7%
0-1
6.9%
2-2
6.5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.1%
0-2
4.5%
0-0
3.8%
1-3
3.7%
3-2
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).