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19 Feb 2022 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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7.5%
Wealdstone
15.0%
Draw
77.5%
Wrexham

Expected Goals (xG)

0.75

Wealdstone

vs
2.67

Wrexham

Markets

BTTS49.7%
Over 0.596.2%
Over 1.586.1%
Over 2.566.5%
Over 3.544.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
11.7%
0-3
10.4%
1-2
8.7%
0-1
8.2%
1-3
7.8%
1-1
7.1%
0-4
6.9%
1-4
5.2%
0-0
3.8%
0-5
3.7%
2-2
3.3%
2-3
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).