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26 May 2024 · 17:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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65.9%
Trabzonspor
22.3%
Draw
11.8%
Ankaragucu

Expected Goals (xG)

2.33

Trabzonspor

vs
0.96

Ankaragucu

Markets

BTTS57.6%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.586.0%
Over 2.563.7%
Over 3.541.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.4%
2-0
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-0
7.9%
3-1
7.5%
1-0
6.6%
0-0
5.9%
2-2
4.6%
4-0
4.6%
4-1
4.4%
1-2
4.0%
3-2
3.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).