Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →77.3%
Roma
15.9%
Draw
6.8%
Verona
Expected Goals (xG)
2.22
Roma
vs
0.49
Verona
Markets
BTTS34.5%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.575.2%
Over 2.550.9%
Over 3.528.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
16.4%
1-0
14.9%
3-0
12.1%
2-1
8.0%
1-1
7.1%
4-0
6.7%
0-0
6.5%
3-1
6.0%
0-1
3.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-0
3.0%
2-2
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).