Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.2%
Stoke
31.6%
Draw
23.2%
Portsmouth
Expected Goals (xG)
1.22
Stoke
vs
0.80
Portsmouth
Markets
BTTS39.7%
Over 0.585.8%
Over 1.560.8%
Over 2.532.8%
Over 3.514.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.3%
0-0
14.2%
1-1
13.9%
2-0
9.9%
0-1
9.6%
2-1
7.9%
1-2
5.2%
0-2
4.2%
3-0
4.0%
3-1
3.2%
2-2
3.1%
1-3
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).