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HHT: 01CSV

19 Feb 2016

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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18.2%
Nancy
22.3%
Draw
59.4%
Paris FC

Expected Goals (xG)

0.78

Nancy

vs
1.66

Paris FC

Markets

BTTS42.9%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.569.1%
Over 2.544.1%
Over 3.523.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
15.4%
0-2
12.0%
1-1
10.3%
1-2
9.4%
0-0
7.8%
1-0
7.7%
0-3
6.7%
1-3
5.2%
2-1
4.4%
2-2
3.6%
0-4
2.8%
2-0
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).