Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →12.9%
Hoffenheim
14.7%
Draw
72.5%
Bayern Munich
Expected Goals (xG)
1.36
Hoffenheim
vs
3.15
Bayern Munich
Markets
BTTS71.5%
Over 0.598.6%
Over 1.594.3%
Over 2.582.8%
Over 3.566.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-3
7.8%
1-2
7.4%
1-4
6.1%
0-3
5.7%
0-2
5.4%
2-3
5.3%
2-2
5.0%
1-1
5.0%
0-4
4.5%
2-4
4.2%
1-5
3.9%
2-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).