Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.2%
Empoli
31.7%
Draw
24.1%
Salernitana
Expected Goals (xG)
1.25
Empoli
vs
0.85
Salernitana
Markets
BTTS42.3%
Over 0.586.5%
Over 1.563.5%
Over 2.535.2%
Over 3.516.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.3%
1-0
13.9%
0-0
13.5%
2-0
9.5%
0-1
9.1%
2-1
8.1%
1-2
5.6%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
4.0%
2-2
3.5%
3-1
3.4%
1-3
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).