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vs

11 Apr 2026 · 14:00

Hull

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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49.8%
Sheffield United
25.5%
Draw
24.7%
Hull

Expected Goals (xG)

1.74

Sheffield United

vs
1.17

Hull

Markets

BTTS57.9%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.579.8%
Over 2.555.8%
Over 3.533.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.0%
2-1
9.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-0
8.2%
1-2
6.5%
0-0
6.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-1
5.6%
0-1
5.4%
3-0
4.8%
0-2
3.7%
3-2
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).